Market Might Still Lack Some Conviction On Isuzu Motors Limited (TSE:7202) Even After 25% Share Price Boost
The Isuzu Motors Limited (TSE:7202) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 25%. Looking further back, the 19% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.
Although its price has surged higher, given about half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 15x, you may still consider Isuzu Motors as an attractive investment with its 11.7x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Isuzu Motors hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
See our latest analysis for Isuzu Motors
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
Isuzu Motors' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 5.7%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year EPS growth is still a noteworthy 23% in total. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 11% per annum over the next three years. With the market only predicted to deliver 9.1% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
With this information, we find it odd that Isuzu Motors is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
The Bottom Line On Isuzu Motors' P/E
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Isuzu Motors' P/E close to the market median. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Isuzu Motors currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Isuzu Motors has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Isuzu Motors might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.