Stock Analysis

Not Many Are Piling Into Metalart Corporation (TSE:5644) Stock Yet As It Plummets 27%

TSE:5644
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Metalart Corporation (TSE:5644) share price has dived 27% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 29% in that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, Metalart may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 3.5x, since almost half of all companies in Japan have P/E ratios greater than 14x and even P/E's higher than 21x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

For example, consider that Metalart's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Metalart

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:5644 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 5th 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Metalart, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Metalart's Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as Metalart's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 18%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 59% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 9.8% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it odd that Metalart is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Final Word

Metalart's P/E looks about as weak as its stock price lately. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Metalart revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current market expectations. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching this positive performance. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Metalart that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Metalart's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSE:5644

Metalart

Engages in the manufacture, machining, and sale of hot forged, precise, and closed-die-forged products for automobiles, construction and agricultural machinery, ships, and other industrial machinery in Japan and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet established dividend payer.