Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Mitsuchi Corporation (TYO:3439) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Mitsuchi
What Is Mitsuchi's Debt?
As you can see below, Mitsuchi had JP¥4.24b of debt, at September 2020, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had JP¥3.45b in cash, and so its net debt is JP¥790.0m.
How Healthy Is Mitsuchi's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Mitsuchi had liabilities of JP¥3.10b due within 12 months and liabilities of JP¥3.39b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of JP¥3.45b and JP¥2.19b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total JP¥854.0m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Given Mitsuchi has a market capitalization of JP¥5.77b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Mitsuchi's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Over 12 months, Mitsuchi made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to JP¥11b, which is a fall of 22%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.
Caveat Emptor
While Mitsuchi's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at JP¥177m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled JP¥247m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So to be blunt we think it is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Mitsuchi (at least 2 which are potentially serious) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:3439
Mitsuchi
Manufactures, delivers, and sells custom fasteners for automotive components in Japan.
Flawless balance sheet, good value and pays a dividend.