What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. However, after investigating Italgas (BIT:IG), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. The formula for this calculation on Italgas is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.077 = €625m ÷ (€9.1b - €991m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2021).
Therefore, Italgas has an ROCE of 7.7%. In absolute terms, that's a low return but it's around the Gas Utilities industry average of 6.9%.
See our latest analysis for Italgas
In the above chart we have measured Italgas' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
What Can We Tell From Italgas' ROCE Trend?
There are better returns on capital out there than what we're seeing at Italgas. Over the past five years, ROCE has remained relatively flat at around 7.7% and the business has deployed 77% more capital into its operations. Given the company has increased the amount of capital employed, it appears the investments that have been made simply don't provide a high return on capital.
The Bottom Line On Italgas' ROCE
As we've seen above, Italgas' returns on capital haven't increased but it is reinvesting in the business. Although the market must be expecting these trends to improve because the stock has gained 36% over the last three years. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.
If you'd like to know more about Italgas, we've spotted 2 warning signs, and 1 of them is potentially serious.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About BIT:IG
Undervalued with proven track record.