Italgas S.p.A.'s (BIT:IG) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to €0.352 on 22nd of May. This takes the dividend yield to 6.6%, which shareholders will be pleased with.
Check out our latest analysis for Italgas
Italgas' Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage
If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Before making this announcement, Italgas was earning enough to cover the dividend, but it wasn't generating any free cash flows. Since a dividend means the company is paying out cash to investors, this could prove to be a problem in the future.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 5.3% over the next year. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 57% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.
Italgas Is Still Building Its Track Record
It is great to see that Italgas has been paying a stable dividend for a number of years now, however we want to be a bit cautious about whether this will remain true through a full economic cycle. Since 2017, the annual payment back then was €0.20, compared to the most recent full-year payment of €0.352. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 8.4% over that duration. Italgas has been growing its dividend at a decent rate, and the payments have been stable. However, the payment history is very short, so there is no evidence yet that the dividend can be sustained over a full economic cycle.
The Dividend Has Growth Potential
Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. It's encouraging to see that Italgas has been growing its earnings per share at 6.8% a year over the past five years. The lack of cash flows does make us a bit cautious though, especially when it comes to the future of the dividend.
Our Thoughts On Italgas' Dividend
In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Italgas' payments are rock solid. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Just as an example, we've come across 2 warning signs for Italgas you should be aware of, and 1 of them is significant. Is Italgas not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BIT:IG
Undervalued with proven track record.