Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Wiit S.p.A. (BIT:WIIT) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
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What Is Wiit's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2020 Wiit had €104.9m of debt, an increase on €29.4m, over one year. On the flip side, it has €18.3m in cash leading to net debt of about €86.7m.
A Look At Wiit's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Wiit had liabilities of €29.9m due within a year, and liabilities of €107.3m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had €18.3m in cash and €11.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €107.1m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Wiit has a market capitalization of €408.3m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.4, it's fair to say Wiit does have a significant amount of debt. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 6.5 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. If Wiit can keep growing EBIT at last year's rate of 13% over the last year, then it will find its debt load easier to manage. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Wiit can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Wiit recorded free cash flow worth 77% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Our View
Happily, Wiit's impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its net debt to EBITDA. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Wiit can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Wiit (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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About BIT:WIIT
Wiit
Provides cloud services for various businesses in Italy and internationally.
High growth potential with solid track record.