David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Reply S.p.A. (BIT:REY) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out the opportunities and risks within the IT IT industry.
What Is Reply's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2022 Reply had €92.2m of debt, an increase on €26.4m, over one year. But it also has €383.1m in cash to offset that, meaning it has €290.8m net cash.
A Look At Reply's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Reply had liabilities of €598.4m due within a year, and liabilities of €344.6m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €383.1m as well as receivables valued at €394.6m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €165.4m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Of course, Reply has a market capitalization of €4.13b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Reply also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
Another good sign is that Reply has been able to increase its EBIT by 25% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Reply's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Reply has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Reply generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 96% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.
Summing Up
While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Reply has €290.8m in net cash. The cherry on top was that in converted 96% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in €168m. So is Reply's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Reply .
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BIT:REY
Reply
Provides consulting, system integration, and digital services based on communication channels and digital media in Italy and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with moderate growth potential.