Statutory Profit Doesn't Reflect How Good Reti's (BIT:RETI) Earnings Are
Reti S.p.A. (BIT:RETI) just reported healthy earnings but the stock price didn't move much. Our analysis suggests that investors might be missing some promising details.
See our latest analysis for Reti
Zooming In On Reti's Earnings
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
Over the twelve months to December 2021, Reti recorded an accrual ratio of -0.20. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of €4.5m, well over the €1.08m it reported in profit. Given that Reti had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of €4.5m would seem to be a step in the right direction.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On Reti's Profit Performance
Happily for shareholders, Reti produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that Reti's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! And the EPS is up 20% over the last twelve months. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you'd like to know more about Reti as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 3 warning signs with Reti, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Reti's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BIT:RETI
Adequate balance sheet and fair value.