Stock Analysis

We Think Società Editoriale Il Fatto (BIT:SEIF) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

BIT:SEIF
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Società Editoriale Il Fatto S.p.A. (BIT:SEIF) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Società Editoriale Il Fatto

What Is Società Editoriale Il Fatto's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Società Editoriale Il Fatto had debt of €2.02m at the end of December 2022, a reduction from €2.19m over a year. However, it also had €695.6k in cash, and so its net debt is €1.32m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BIT:SEIF Debt to Equity History April 13th 2023

How Healthy Is Società Editoriale Il Fatto's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Società Editoriale Il Fatto had liabilities of €11.0m due within a year, and liabilities of €4.75m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €695.6k as well as receivables valued at €3.02m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €12.1m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the €5.64m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Società Editoriale Il Fatto would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Società Editoriale Il Fatto has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.19. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 24.2 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Even more impressive was the fact that Società Editoriale Il Fatto grew its EBIT by 1,167% over twelve months. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Società Editoriale Il Fatto's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last two years, Società Editoriale Il Fatto burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, Società Editoriale Il Fatto's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at covering its interest expense with its EBIT; that's encouraging. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making Società Editoriale Il Fatto stock a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 4 warning signs with Società Editoriale Il Fatto , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.