Stock Analysis

UnipolSai Assicurazioni S.p.A.'s (BIT:US) Stock On An Uptrend: Could Fundamentals Be Driving The Momentum?

BIT:US
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UnipolSai Assicurazioni's (BIT:US) stock is up by a considerable 15% over the past month. As most would know, fundamentals are what usually guide market price movements over the long-term, so we decided to look at the company's key financial indicators today to determine if they have any role to play in the recent price movement. Specifically, we decided to study UnipolSai Assicurazioni's ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

See our latest analysis for UnipolSai Assicurazioni

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for UnipolSai Assicurazioni is:

10% = €853m ÷ €8.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. One way to conceptualize this is that for each €1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made €0.10 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

A Side By Side comparison of UnipolSai Assicurazioni's Earnings Growth And 10% ROE

To begin with, UnipolSai Assicurazioni seems to have a respectable ROE. Further, the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 10%. This probably goes some way in explaining UnipolSai Assicurazioni's moderate 8.5% growth over the past five years amongst other factors.

As a next step, we compared UnipolSai Assicurazioni's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 15% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
BIT:US Past Earnings Growth February 25th 2021

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. What is US worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether US is currently mispriced by the market.

Is UnipolSai Assicurazioni Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

UnipolSai Assicurazioni has a significant three-year median payout ratio of 59%, meaning that it is left with only 41% to reinvest into its business. This implies that the company has been able to achieve decent earnings growth despite returning most of its profits to shareholders.

Besides, UnipolSai Assicurazioni has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to rise to 78% over the next three years. Consequently, the higher expected payout ratio explains the decline in the company's expected ROE (to 7.9%) over the same period.

Conclusion

In total, it does look like UnipolSai Assicurazioni has some positive aspects to its business. Its earnings have grown respectably as we saw earlier, which was likely due to the company reinvesting its earnings at a pretty high rate of return. However, given the high ROE, we do think that the company is reinvesting a small portion of its profits. This could likely be preventing the company from growing to its full extent. Having said that, on studying current analyst estimates, we were concerned to see that while the company has grown its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to shrink in the future. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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