Stock Analysis

Don't Buy Saipem SpA (BIT:SPM) For Its Next Dividend Without Doing These Checks

BIT:SPM
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Some investors rely on dividends for growing their wealth, and if you're one of those dividend sleuths, you might be intrigued to know that Saipem SpA (BIT:SPM) is about to go ex-dividend in just 4 days. The ex-dividend date generally occurs two days before the record date, which is the day on which shareholders need to be on the company's books in order to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is important because any transaction on a stock needs to have been settled before the record date in order to be eligible for a dividend. This means that investors who purchase Saipem's shares on or after the 19th of May will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 21st of May.

The company's next dividend payment will be €0.17 per share, on the back of last year when the company paid a total of €0.17 to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Saipem has a trailing yield of 7.4% on the current stock price of €2.283. We love seeing companies pay a dividend, but it's also important to be sure that laying the golden eggs isn't going to kill our golden goose! So we need to investigate whether Saipem can afford its dividend, and if the dividend could grow.

We've discovered 1 warning sign about Saipem. View them for free.

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. Saipem paid out 109% of its earnings, which is more than we're comfortable with, unless there are mitigating circumstances.

View our latest analysis for Saipem

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

historic-dividend
BIT:SPM Historic Dividend May 14th 2025

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

When earnings decline, dividend companies become much harder to analyse and own safely. If earnings decline and the company is forced to cut its dividend, investors could watch the value of their investment go up in smoke. Saipem's earnings per share have fallen at approximately 22% a year over the previous five years. When earnings per share fall, the maximum amount of dividends that can be paid also falls.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. Saipem's dividend payments per share have declined at 19% per year on average over the past five years, which is uninspiring. While it's not great that earnings and dividends per share have fallen in recent years, we're encouraged by the fact that management has trimmed the dividend rather than risk over-committing the company in a risky attempt to maintain yields to shareholders.

The Bottom Line

From a dividend perspective, should investors buy or avoid Saipem? Not only are earnings per share shrinking, but Saipem is paying out a disconcertingly high percentage of its profit as dividends. Generally we think dividend investors should avoid businesses in this situation, as high payout ratios and declining earnings can lead to the dividend being cut. All things considered, we're not optimistic about its dividend prospects, and would be inclined to leave it on the shelf for now.

With that in mind though, if the poor dividend characteristics of Saipem don't faze you, it's worth being mindful of the risks involved with this business. For example, we've found 1 warning sign for Saipem that we recommend you consider before investing in the business.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.