Stock Analysis

MARR S.p.A. (BIT:MARR) Released Earnings Last Week And Analysts Lifted Their Price Target To €20.30

BIT:MARR
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Shareholders might have noticed that MARR S.p.A. (BIT:MARR) filed its annual result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 8.6% to €18.10 in the past week. Revenues were €1.2b, and MARR came in a solid 12% ahead of expectations. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

Check out our latest analysis for MARR

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BIT:MARR Earnings and Revenue Growth March 18th 2021

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for MARR from four analysts is for revenues of €1.48b in 2021 which, if met, would be a huge 21% increase on its sales over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to shoot up 227% to €0.62. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of €1.49b and earnings per share (EPS) of €0.73 in 2021. The analysts seem to have become more bearish following the latest results. While there were no changes to revenue forecasts, there was a substantial drop in EPS estimates.

Despite cutting their earnings forecasts,the analysts have lifted their price target 8.6% to €20.30, suggesting that these impacts are not expected to weigh on the stock's value in the long term. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. Currently, the most bullish analyst values MARR at €23.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at €15.80. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. It's clear from the latest estimates that MARR's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 21% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2021 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 0.2% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 3.7% annually. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect MARR to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for MARR. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting sales are tracking in line with expectations - and our data suggests that revenues are expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was also a nice increase in the price target, with the analysts clearly feeling that the intrinsic value of the business is improving.

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on MARR. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for MARR going out to 2025, and you can see them free on our platform here..

Plus, you should also learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with MARR (including 1 which is a bit concerning) .

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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