Stock Analysis

Do Sabaf's (BIT:SAB) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

BIT:SAB
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It's only natural that many investors, especially those who are new to the game, prefer to buy shares in 'sexy' stocks with a good story, even if those businesses lose money. And in their study titled Who Falls Prey to the Wolf of Wall Street?' Leuz et. al. found that it is 'quite common' for investors to lose money by buying into 'pump and dump' schemes.

In contrast to all that, I prefer to spend time on companies like Sabaf (BIT:SAB), which has not only revenues, but also profits. While profit is not necessarily a social good, it's easy to admire a business that can consistently produce it. In comparison, loss making companies act like a sponge for capital - but unlike such a sponge they do not always produce something when squeezed.

See our latest analysis for Sabaf

How Fast Is Sabaf Growing?

If a company can keep growing earnings per share (EPS) long enough, its share price will eventually follow. That means EPS growth is considered a real positive by most successful long-term investors. It certainly is nice to see that Sabaf has managed to grow EPS by 24% per year over three years. As a general rule, we'd say that if a company can keep up that sort of growth, shareholders will be smiling.

I like to see top-line growth as an indication that growth is sustainable, and I look for a high earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margin to point to a competitive moat (though some companies with low margins also have moats). The good news is that Sabaf is growing revenues, and EBIT margins improved by 9.3 percentage points to 16%, over the last year. Ticking those two boxes is a good sign of growth, in my book.

The chart below shows how the company's bottom and top lines have progressed over time. Click on the chart to see the exact numbers.

earnings-and-revenue-history
BIT:SAB Earnings and Revenue History October 1st 2021

Sabaf isn't a huge company, given its market capitalization of €235m. That makes it extra important to check on its balance sheet strength.

Are Sabaf Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Like that fresh smell in the air when the rains are coming, insider buying fills me with optimistic anticipation. That's because insider buying often indicates that those closest to the company have confidence that the share price will perform well. However, small purchases are not always indicative of conviction, and insiders don't always get it right.

Like a sturdy phalanx Sabaf insiders have stood united by refusing to sell shares over the last year. But the bigger deal is that the CEO & Director, Pietro Iotti, paid €53k to buy shares at an average price of €21.20.

The good news, alongside the insider buying, for Sabaf bulls is that insiders (collectively) have a meaningful investment in the stock. With a whopping €72m worth of shares as a group, insiders have plenty riding on the company's success. That holding amounts to 31% of the stock on issue, thus making insiders influential, and aligned, owners of the business.

While insiders are apparently happy to hold and accumulate shares, that is just part of the pretty picture. That's because on our analysis the CEO, Pietro Iotti, is paid less than the median for similar sized companies. I discovered that the median total compensation for the CEOs of companies like Sabaf with market caps between €86m and €345m is about €500k.

Sabaf offered total compensation worth €435k to its CEO in the year to . That comes in below the average for similar sized companies, and seems pretty reasonable to me. While the level of CEO compensation isn't a huge factor in my view of the company, modest remuneration is a positive, because it suggests that the board keeps shareholder interests in mind. It can also be a sign of a culture of integrity, in a broader sense.

Should You Add Sabaf To Your Watchlist?

Given my belief that share price follows earnings per share you can easily imagine how I feel about Sabaf's strong EPS growth. The cranberry sauce on the turkey is that insiders own a bunch of shares, and one has been buying more. So it's fair to say I think this stock may well deserve a spot on your watchlist. You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for Sabaf you should be aware of, and 1 of them is significant.

As a growth investor I do like to see insider buying. But Sabaf isn't the only one. You can see a a free list of them here.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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