Stock Analysis

The Strong Earnings Posted By Iveco Group (BIT:IVG) Are A Good Indication Of The Strength Of The Business

BIT:IVG
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Iveco Group N.V. (BIT:IVG) recently posted some strong earnings, and the market responded positively. We did some digging and found some further encouraging factors that investors will like.

View our latest analysis for Iveco Group

earnings-and-revenue-history
BIT:IVG Earnings and Revenue History February 17th 2023

A Closer Look At Iveco Group's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

Over the twelve months to December 2022, Iveco Group recorded an accrual ratio of -0.24. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. In fact, it had free cash flow of €1.4b in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of €147.0m. Given that Iveco Group had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of €1.4b would seem to be a step in the right direction.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Iveco Group's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, Iveco Group's accrual ratio indicates strong conversion of profit to free cash flow, which is a positive for the company. Because of this, we think Iveco Group's underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! And on top of that, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last year. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. If you want to do dive deeper into Iveco Group, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Iveco Group (including 1 which is potentially serious).

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Iveco Group's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.