Stock Analysis

Interpump Group S.p.A. (BIT:IP) Just Reported Earnings, And Analysts Cut Their Target Price

BIT:IP
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As you might know, Interpump Group S.p.A. (BIT:IP) recently reported its interim numbers. Interpump Group reported in line with analyst predictions, delivering revenues of €1.1b and statutory earnings per share of €2.56, suggesting the business is executing well and in line with its plan. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

Check out our latest analysis for Interpump Group

earnings-and-revenue-growth
BIT:IP Earnings and Revenue Growth August 13th 2024

Following the recent earnings report, the consensus from seven analysts covering Interpump Group is for revenues of €2.10b in 2024. This implies a measurable 2.5% decline in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory per share are forecast to be €2.21, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of €2.18b and earnings per share (EPS) of €2.41 in 2024. It's pretty clear that pessimism has reared its head after the latest results, leading to a weaker revenue outlook and a minor downgrade to earnings per share estimates.

It'll come as no surprise then, to learn that the analysts have cut their price target 9.3% to €47.33. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. There are some variant perceptions on Interpump Group, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at €55.00 and the most bearish at €39.00 per share. There are definitely some different views on the stock, but the range of estimates is not wide enough as to imply that the situation is unforecastable, in our view.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. We would highlight that revenue is expected to reverse, with a forecast 5.0% annualised decline to the end of 2024. That is a notable change from historical growth of 14% over the last five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the same industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 4.8% annually for the foreseeable future. So although its revenues are forecast to shrink, this cloud does not come with a silver lining - Interpump Group is expected to lag the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. Unfortunately, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and our data indicates underperformance compared to the wider industry. Even so, earnings per share are more important to the intrinsic value of the business. The consensus price target fell measurably, with the analysts seemingly not reassured by the latest results, leading to a lower estimate of Interpump Group's future valuation.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have forecasts for Interpump Group going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

You can also see whether Interpump Group is carrying too much debt, and whether its balance sheet is healthy, for free on our platform here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.