Stock Analysis

The Market Lifts Fincantieri S.p.A. (BIT:FCT) Shares 28% But It Can Do More

BIT:FCT
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Fincantieri S.p.A. (BIT:FCT) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 28% after a shaky period beforehand. Looking further back, the 18% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

Although its price has surged higher, given about half the companies operating in Italy's Machinery industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 0.6x, you may still consider Fincantieri as an attractive investment with its 0.1x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Fincantieri

ps-multiple-vs-industry
BIT:FCT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 16th 2024

What Does Fincantieri's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Fincantieri has been relatively sluggish. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think Fincantieri's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Fincantieri's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Fincantieri would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. Still, the latest three year period was better as it's delivered a decent 28% overall rise in revenue. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 6.5% per year during the coming three years according to the three analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 5.6% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Fincantieri's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Final Word

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Fincantieri's P/S close to the industry median. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've seen that Fincantieri currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecast growth is in line with the wider industry. When we see middle-of-the-road revenue growth like this, we assume it must be the potential risks that are what is placing pressure on the P/S ratio. However, if you agree with the analysts' forecasts, you may be able to pick up the stock at an attractive price.

Having said that, be aware Fincantieri is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Fincantieri's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Fincantieri is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.