Stock Analysis
Esautomotion S.p.A.'s (BIT:ESAU) Shares Leap 25% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story
Esautomotion S.p.A. (BIT:ESAU) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 25% after a shaky period beforehand. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 9.9% over the last year.
Even after such a large jump in price, Esautomotion's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.7x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Italy, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 15x and even P/E's above 26x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Esautomotion hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
View our latest analysis for Esautomotion
How Is Esautomotion's Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Esautomotion's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 15%. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 95% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 21% per year during the coming three years according to the only analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 17% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Esautomotion's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Key Takeaway
Despite Esautomotion's shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Esautomotion's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Esautomotion (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.
You might be able to find a better investment than Esautomotion. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Esautomotion might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About BIT:ESAU
Esautomotion
Develops, manufactures, and sells industrial automation products and services in Italy.