Stock Analysis

Is Danieli (BIT:DAN) Undervalued? A Fresh Look at the Machinery Maker’s Recent Stock Momentum and Valuation

If you have been watching Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche (BIT:DAN) lately, you might be wondering what to make of its recent stock behavior. While there hasn’t been a specific event driving headlines, the stock’s movements could be enough to catch the sharp eye of investors looking for signals. Is there something happening beneath the surface, or is it just the ebb and flow of the market? Zooming out, Danieli has seen its share price gain nearly 39% over the past twelve months and an impressive 62% so far this year. Short-term momentum has picked up too, with returns up close to 19% in the past three months, despite some dips in the past month. This kind of performance stands out, especially when you consider the company’s steady revenue and net income growth in the most recent annual results. With all this momentum, the key question for investors is whether Danieli’s stock is trading at an attractive value. Could the current price be leaving room for more upside, or is the market already assuming strong growth ahead?
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Price-to-Earnings of 10.7x: Is it justified?

Danieli’s valuation stands out when measured by its price-to-earnings ratio. At 10.7x, the company looks undervalued relative to peers and the wider machinery industry, both of which command higher multiples.

The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio compares the company's current share price to its per-share earnings. It is a popular yardstick for appraising whether investors are paying too much, too little, or just about the right amount for future earnings potential, especially in capital goods sectors like machinery where earning consistency matters.

What sets Danieli apart is its ratio, which is significantly below both the estimated fair P/E (16.1x) and the peer group average (16.3x). This suggests that the market might not be fully reflecting its ability to generate profits. Even compared to the broader European Machinery industry average (20.3x), Danieli trades at a meaningful discount. Whether this gap is justified depends on how sustainable its earnings growth proves to be in the quarters ahead.

Result: Fair Value of €70.52 (UNDERVALUED)

See our latest analysis for Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche.

However, risks remain, such as shifts in industry demand or a slowdown in revenue growth. These factors could quickly challenge the current optimism.

Find out about the key risks to this Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche narrative.

Another View: SWS DCF Model

Taking a look from a different angle, the SWS DCF model also indicates that Danieli is undervalued. This method focuses on future cash flows to estimate value and challenges the assumptions of the multiples approach.

Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.
DAN Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2025
DAN Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2025
Stay updated when valuation signals shift by adding Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche to your watchlist or portfolio. Alternatively, explore our screener to discover other companies that fit your criteria.

Build Your Own Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche Narrative

If you see things differently or want to dig deeper into the numbers, you can build your own view in just a few minutes using Do it your way.

A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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