Stellantis (BIT:STLAM) Valuation in Focus as Mopar Fleet Platform Launches for 2,600 Dealerships

If you have your eye on Stellantis (BIT:STLAM), the company’s latest move deserves your attention. Stellantis just announced the launch of its Mopar Fleet initiative, introducing a centralized service and billing platform, Servicent, to fleet customers across 2,600 Mopar dealerships. Backed by dedicated teams and new roles focused on streamlining maintenance support and expanding aftermarket services, this initiative could change the game for the company’s commercial vehicle footprint and influence how the market views future growth prospects from Stellantis’s fleet-driven revenue.

This rollout comes at a time when investors are weighing the company’s momentum. Over the past year, Stellantis shares have seen a steep decline, with the stock dropping more than 40%. Performance in the past three months has also trended lower, suggesting that recent operational updates, including new client-focused programs and strategic leadership changes, are yet to translate into market optimism. For those watching the auto sector, Stellantis’s stock action has stood out for its downward drift rather than any hint of a rally.

As Stellantis leans into new fleet programs and aims for better margins, some may wonder if the current share price already reflects all potential future gains, or if there could be an opportunity for patient investors.

Most Popular Narrative: 20.5% Undervalued

The most widely followed narrative suggests Stellantis is trading well below its calculated fair value, positioning the shares as a potential bargain for investors who believe in the underlying growth story.

Sequential improvements in operating margins and halved cash flow outflows from 2H 2024 to 1H 2025, combined with a robust liquidity position (25-30% of trailing 12-month revenue), indicate underlying operational progress that could drive higher future net margins and cash generation as near-term headwinds subside.

Want to know what powers this bullish outlook? The narrative hints at a transformation play built on ambitious growth targets and operational turnaround. Curious which key financial metrics and future profit assumptions justify this deep discount? Dig into the full narrative to see the bold projections analysts are counting on. These estimates might surprise you.

Result: Fair Value of €9.38 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, persistent regulatory pressures and restructuring costs could undermine the bullish outlook. This may make sustained profitability and recovery in Stellantis’s key markets less certain.

Find out about the key risks to this Stellantis narrative.

Another View: Discounted Cash Flow Perspective

Taking a step back from analyst targets, our DCF model also indicates Stellantis is trading well below its fair value. This reinforces the earlier undervalued case. But can both approaches be right, or is one missing something?

Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.

Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Stellantis for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.

Build Your Own Stellantis Narrative

If you have your own perspective on Stellantis or want to independently check the numbers, you can build a personal view in just a few minutes. Do it your way.

A great starting point for your Stellantis research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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