Stellantis Valuation

Is STLAM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of STLAM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: STLAM (€12.51) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€27.81)

Significantly Below Fair Value: STLAM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for STLAM?

Key metric: As STLAM is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for STLAM. This is calculated by dividing STLAM's market cap by their current earnings.
What is STLAM's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio2.7x
Earnings€13.30b
Market Cap€35.90b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does STLAM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for STLAM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.1x
A005380 Hyundai Motor
5x5.0%₩53.5t
7267 Honda Motor
6.4x5.7%JP¥6.3t
500570 Tata Motors
8.7x1.0%₹2.9t
M&M Mahindra & Mahindra
28.3x11.0%₹3.4t
STLAM Stellantis
2.7x-0.3%€35.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: STLAM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2.7x) compared to the peer average (12.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does STLAM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.15.7x7.7%
STLAM Stellantis
2.7x-0.3%US$37.39b
STLAM 2.7xIndustry Avg. 15.7xNo. of Companies15PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.15.7x7.7%
STLAM Stellantis
2.7x-0.3%US$37.39b
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: STLAM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2.7x) compared to the Global Auto industry average (15.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is STLAM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

STLAM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio2.7x
Fair PE Ratio11x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: STLAM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst STLAM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€12.51
€14.94
+19.4%
25.0%€28.50€11.00n/a26
Nov ’25€12.72
€15.22
+19.6%
26.1%€28.50€11.00n/a25
Oct ’25€12.43
€18.60
+49.7%
24.1%€28.50€11.00n/a25
Sep ’25€15.14
€21.07
+39.2%
23.5%€36.00€15.00n/a26
Aug ’25€15.19
€22.30
+46.8%
21.7%€36.00€15.00n/a26
Jul ’25€18.63
€26.14
+40.3%
18.4%€38.00€18.00n/a26
Jun ’25€20.20
€26.97
+33.5%
17.9%€38.00€18.00n/a25
May ’25€20.88
€27.93
+33.8%
15.9%€38.00€18.00n/a25
Apr ’25€26.35
€28.01
+6.3%
16.9%€40.00€20.00n/a26
Mar ’25€24.44
€26.70
+9.3%
17.5%€40.00€18.00n/a27
Feb ’25€20.77
€24.51
+18.0%
17.4%€39.00€18.00n/a27
Jan ’25€21.15
€24.49
+15.8%
19.5%€39.00€18.00n/a25
Dec ’24€20.11
€24.05
+19.6%
20.3%€39.00€18.00n/a24
Nov ’24€17.94
€24.10
+34.3%
21.1%€39.00€18.00€12.7224
Oct ’24€18.21
€23.47
+28.9%
21.7%€39.00€17.00€12.4323
Sep ’24€16.80
€23.35
+39.0%
22.6%€39.00€17.00€15.1422
Aug ’24€18.29
€23.26
+27.2%
22.7%€39.00€17.00€15.1922
Jul ’24€16.09
€21.71
+35.0%
23.7%€38.00€16.20€18.6322
Jun ’24€14.38
€21.48
+49.3%
24.0%€38.00€16.20€20.2023
May ’24€15.00
€21.65
+44.3%
24.3%€38.00€16.32€20.8822
Apr ’24€16.74
€21.40
+27.9%
24.5%€38.00€16.32€26.3523
Mar ’24€17.06
€21.36
+25.2%
24.7%€38.00€16.32€24.4423
Feb ’24€14.49
€20.23
+39.6%
26.6%€36.00€14.90€20.7723
Jan ’24€13.26
€20.81
+56.9%
25.7%€36.00€15.00€21.1523
Dec ’23€14.91
€20.81
+39.6%
26.1%€36.00€15.00€20.1123
Nov ’23€13.79
€21.06
+52.7%
25.3%€35.00€15.00€17.9423

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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