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Robust Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For RattanIndia Enterprises (NSE:RTNINDIA)
RattanIndia Enterprises Limited's (NSE:RTNINDIA) stock was strong after they reported robust earnings. However, our analysis suggests that shareholders may be missing some factors that indicate the earnings result was not as good as it looked.
View our latest analysis for RattanIndia Enterprises
Zooming In On RattanIndia Enterprises' Earnings
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
For the year to March 2022, RattanIndia Enterprises had an accrual ratio of 1.63. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of ₹141m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of ₹5.54b. It's worth noting that RattanIndia Enterprises generated positive FCF of ₹671m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. One positive for RattanIndia Enterprises shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of RattanIndia Enterprises.
Our Take On RattanIndia Enterprises' Profit Performance
As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that RattanIndia Enterprises didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. As a result, we think it may well be the case that RattanIndia Enterprises' underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. The silver lining is that its EPS growth over the last year has been really wonderful, even if it's not a perfect measure. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for RattanIndia Enterprises you should be mindful of and 1 of these shouldn't be ignored.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of RattanIndia Enterprises' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:RTNINDIA
RattanIndia Enterprises
Engages in the manpower, human resource supply and consultancy, payroll management, technology, and other related services in India.
Solid track record with mediocre balance sheet.