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NLC India (NSE:NLCINDIA) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. In light of that, when we looked at NLC India (NSE:NLCINDIA) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for NLC India, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.086 = ₹38b ÷ (₹516b - ₹70b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).
Therefore, NLC India has an ROCE of 8.6%. Even though it's in line with the industry average of 8.6%, it's still a low return by itself.
Check out our latest analysis for NLC India
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you're interested in investigating NLC India's past further, check out this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
SWOT Analysis for NLC India
- Debt is well covered by earnings and cashflows.
- Dividends are covered by earnings and cash flows.
- Dividend is in the top 25% of dividend payers in the market.
- Earnings declined over the past year.
- Trading below our estimate of fair value by more than 20%.
- Lack of analyst coverage makes it difficult to determine NLCINDIA's earnings prospects.
- No apparent threats visible for NLCINDIA.
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at NLC India doesn't inspire confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 8.6% from 12% five years ago. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.
The Key Takeaway
While returns have fallen for NLC India in recent times, we're encouraged to see that sales are growing and that the business is reinvesting in its operations. In light of this, the stock has only gained 38% over the last five years. Therefore we'd recommend looking further into this stock to confirm if it has the makings of a good investment.
NLC India does have some risks, we noticed 4 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.
While NLC India may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if NLC India might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:NLCINDIA
Established dividend payer with adequate balance sheet.