Stock Analysis

Returns On Capital At NHPC (NSE:NHPC) Have Hit The Brakes

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NSEI:NHPC

If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think NHPC (NSE:NHPC) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. The formula for this calculation on NHPC is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.059 = ₹49b ÷ (₹933b - ₹110b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

Thus, NHPC has an ROCE of 5.9%. On its own that's a low return on capital but it's in line with the industry's average returns of 5.9%.

See our latest analysis for NHPC

NSEI:NHPC Return on Capital Employed October 6th 2024

Above you can see how the current ROCE for NHPC compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for NHPC .

So How Is NHPC's ROCE Trending?

The returns on capital haven't changed much for NHPC in recent years. The company has consistently earned 5.9% for the last five years, and the capital employed within the business has risen 36% in that time. This poor ROCE doesn't inspire confidence right now, and with the increase in capital employed, it's evident that the business isn't deploying the funds into high return investments.

The Bottom Line On NHPC's ROCE

As we've seen above, NHPC's returns on capital haven't increased but it is reinvesting in the business. Yet to long term shareholders the stock has gifted them an incredible 420% return in the last five years, so the market appears to be rosy about its future. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.

NHPC does have some risks though, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for NHPC that you might be interested in.

While NHPC isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if NHPC might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.