Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Gujarat Gas (NSE:GUJGASLTD) Is Using Debt Safely

NSEI:GUJGASLTD
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Gujarat Gas Limited (NSE:GUJGASLTD) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Gujarat Gas

What Is Gujarat Gas's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Gujarat Gas had debt of ₹5.21b at the end of September 2021, a reduction from ₹14.0b over a year. However, it does have ₹4.25b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹968.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:GUJGASLTD Debt to Equity History November 17th 2021

A Look At Gujarat Gas' Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Gujarat Gas had liabilities of ₹25.1b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹14.5b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹4.25b as well as receivables valued at ₹8.52b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹26.8b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Of course, Gujarat Gas has a market capitalization of ₹461.0b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. But either way, Gujarat Gas has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

With debt at a measly 0.042 times EBITDA and EBIT covering interest a whopping 68.9 times, it's clear that Gujarat Gas is not a desperate borrower. So relative to past earnings, the debt load seems trivial. On top of that, Gujarat Gas grew its EBIT by 41% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Gujarat Gas can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Gujarat Gas recorded free cash flow worth 53% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Gujarat Gas's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its EBIT growth rate is also very heartening. We would also note that Gas Utilities industry companies like Gujarat Gas commonly do use debt without problems. Considering this range of factors, it seems to us that Gujarat Gas is quite prudent with its debt, and the risks seem well managed. So the balance sheet looks pretty healthy, to us. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Gujarat Gas's earnings per share history for free.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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