Stock Analysis

Gujarat Gas (NSE:GUJGASLTD) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Gujarat Gas Limited (NSE:GUJGASLTD) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Gujarat Gas

What Is Gujarat Gas's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Gujarat Gas had ₹6.07b of debt at September 2021, down from ₹14.5b a year prior. However, it also had ₹4.25b in cash, and so its net debt is ₹1.82b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:GUJGASLTD Debt to Equity History February 27th 2022

A Look At Gujarat Gas' Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Gujarat Gas had liabilities of ₹25.1b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹14.5b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹4.25b in cash and ₹8.52b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹26.8b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Since publicly traded Gujarat Gas shares are worth a total of ₹413.6b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. But either way, Gujarat Gas has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

With debt at a measly 0.095 times EBITDA and EBIT covering interest a whopping 86.9 times, it's clear that Gujarat Gas is not a desperate borrower. Indeed relative to its earnings its debt load seems light as a feather. On the other hand, Gujarat Gas saw its EBIT drop by 2.9% in the last twelve months. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Gujarat Gas can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Gujarat Gas recorded free cash flow worth 56% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Happily, Gujarat Gas's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its EBIT growth rate. It's also worth noting that Gujarat Gas is in the Gas Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Gujarat Gas is pretty sensible with its use of debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Gujarat Gas is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Mobile Infrastructure for Defense and Disaster

The next wave in robotics isn't humanoid. Its fully autonomous towers delivering 5G, ISR, and radar in under 30 minutes, anywhere.

Get the investor briefing before the next round of contracts

Sponsored On Behalf of CiTech

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NSEI:GUJGASLTD

Gujarat Gas

Engages in the distribution of natural gas in India.

Flawless balance sheet 6 star dividend payer.

Weekly Picks

AL
RKLB logo
AlexLovell on Rocket Lab ·

Early mover in a fast growing industry. Likely to experience share price volatility as they scale

Fair Value:US$16.25241.5% overvalued
15 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
5 users have liked this narrative
AG
Agricola
EXN logo
Agricola on Excellon Resources ·

A case for CA$31.80 (undiluted), aka 8,616% upside from CA$0.37 (an 86 bagger!).

Fair Value:CA$31.898.8% undervalued
10 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
6 users have liked this narrative
FU
FundamentallySarcastic
CCP logo
FundamentallySarcastic on Credit Corp Group ·

Moderation and Stabilisation: HOLD: Fair Price based on a 4-year Cycle is $12.08

Fair Value:AU$12.647.1% overvalued
6 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

AG
Agricola
SRL logo
Agricola on Scully Royalty ·

A case for USD $14.81 per share based on book value. Be warned, this is a micro-cap dependent on a single mine.

Fair Value:US$14.8156.9% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
CO
OXY logo
composite32 on Occidental Petroleum ·

Occidental Petroleum to Become Fairly Priced at $68.29 According to Future Projections

Fair Value:US$68.2943.0% undervalued
2 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
RE
AGFB logo
RecMag on Agfa-Gevaert ·

Agfa-Gevaert is a digital and materials turnaround opportunity, with growth potential in ZIRFON, but carrying legacy risks.

Fair Value:€5.3991.2% undervalued
23 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

TH
TheWallstreetKing
MVIS logo
TheWallstreetKing on MicroVision ·

MicroVision will explode future revenue by 380.37% with a vision towards success

Fair Value:US$6098.5% undervalued
122 users have followed this narrative
11 users have commented on this narrative
22 users have liked this narrative
RO
RockeTeller
SCZ logo
RockeTeller on Santacruz Silver Mining ·

Crazy Undervalued 42 Baggers Silver Play (Active & Running Mine)

Fair Value:CA$8686.1% undervalued
81 users have followed this narrative
8 users have commented on this narrative
23 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$250.3929.0% undervalued
973 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
26 users have liked this narrative