Stock Analysis

Adani Total Gas Limited's (NSE:ATGL) P/S Is On The Mark

NSEI:ATGL
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When close to half the companies in the Gas Utilities industry in India have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.8x, you may consider Adani Total Gas Limited (NSE:ATGL) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 15.9x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Check out our latest analysis for Adani Total Gas

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:ATGL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 30th 2024

What Does Adani Total Gas' Recent Performance Look Like?

Adani Total Gas has been doing a decent job lately as it's been growing revenue at a reasonable pace. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this good revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Adani Total Gas will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Adani Total Gas would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 7.2%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 111% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to decline by 5.1% over the next year, which puts the company's recent medium-term positive growth rates in a good light for now.

With this in mind, it's clear to us why Adani Total Gas' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Investors are willing to pay more for a stock they hope will buck the trend of the broader industry going backwards. Nonetheless, with most other businesses facing an uphill battle, staying on its current revenue path is no certainty.

The Final Word

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We see that Adani Total Gas justifiably maintains its high P/S on the merits of its recentthree-year revenue growth beating forecasts amidst struggling industry. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident revenues aren't under threat. However, it'd be fair to raise concerns over whether this level of revenue performance will continue given the harsh conditions facing the industry. Otherwise, it's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future if its revenue performance persists.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Adani Total Gas, and understanding should be part of your investment process.

If you're unsure about the strength of Adani Total Gas' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.