Stock Analysis

Is Tara Chand Logistic Solutions (NSE:TARACHAND) A Risky Investment?

NSEI:TARACHAND
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Tara Chand Logistic Solutions Limited (NSE:TARACHAND) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Tara Chand Logistic Solutions

What Is Tara Chand Logistic Solutions's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2021, Tara Chand Logistic Solutions had ₹1.05b of debt, up from ₹859.5m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had ₹37.7m in cash, and so its net debt is ₹1.02b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:TARACHAND Debt to Equity History May 14th 2021

A Look At Tara Chand Logistic Solutions' Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Tara Chand Logistic Solutions had liabilities of ₹471.1m due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹1.17b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had ₹37.7m in cash and ₹631.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹970.8m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit casts a shadow over the ₹513.7m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Tara Chand Logistic Solutions would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

While Tara Chand Logistic Solutions's debt to EBITDA ratio (3.2) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 1.6, suggesting high leverage. It seems that the business incurs large depreciation and amortisation charges, so maybe its debt load is heavier than it would first appear, since EBITDA is arguably a generous measure of earnings. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. Worse, Tara Chand Logistic Solutions's EBIT was down 25% over the last year. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Tara Chand Logistic Solutions will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Tara Chand Logistic Solutions burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, Tara Chand Logistic Solutions's EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. And even its interest cover fails to inspire much confidence. Considering everything we've mentioned above, it's fair to say that Tara Chand Logistic Solutions is carrying heavy debt load. If you harvest honey without a bee suit, you risk getting stung, so we'd probably stay away from this particular stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Tara Chand Logistic Solutions is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those make us uncomfortable...

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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