Stock Analysis

Oricon Enterprises Limited's (NSE:ORICONENT) Business Is Trailing The Industry But Its Shares Aren't

NSEI:ORICONENT
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Oricon Enterprises Limited's (NSE:ORICONENT) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.8x may not look like an appealing investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Shipping industry in India have P/S ratios below 2.8x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

Check out our latest analysis for Oricon Enterprises

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:ORICONENT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 28th 2024

How Oricon Enterprises Has Been Performing

For instance, Oricon Enterprises' receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Oricon Enterprises' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Oricon Enterprises?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Oricon Enterprises' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 76% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 67% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 14% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Oricon Enterprises' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Oricon Enterprises currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 5 warning signs for Oricon Enterprises (2 can't be ignored!) that we have uncovered.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.