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North Eastern Carrying (NSE:NECCLTD) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies North Eastern Carrying Corporation Limited (NSE:NECCLTD) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for North Eastern Carrying
What Is North Eastern Carrying's Net Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2021, North Eastern Carrying had ₹976.5m of debt, up from ₹751.3m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹111.2m, its net debt is less, at about ₹865.3m.
How Strong Is North Eastern Carrying's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that North Eastern Carrying had liabilities of ₹1.14b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹7.20m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹111.2m and ₹1.82b worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has ₹784.5m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This luscious liquidity implies that North Eastern Carrying's balance sheet is sturdy like a giant sequoia tree. With this in mind one could posit that its balance sheet means the company is able to handle some adversity.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
North Eastern Carrying shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (5.8), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 2.0 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. On the other hand, North Eastern Carrying grew its EBIT by 23% in the last year. If sustained, this growth should make that debt evaporate like a scarce drinking water during an unnaturally hot summer. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since North Eastern Carrying will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, North Eastern Carrying burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
We weren't impressed with North Eastern Carrying's net debt to EBITDA, and its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow made us cautious. But like a ballerina ending on a perfect pirouette, it has not trouble staying on top of its total liabilities. Considering this range of data points, we think North Eastern Carrying is in a good position to manage its debt levels. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for North Eastern Carrying (2 don't sit too well with us) you should be aware of.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if North Eastern Carrying might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:NECCLTD
Proven track record with adequate balance sheet.