Jet Freight Logistics Limited (NSE:JETFREIGHT) Surges 29% Yet Its Low P/S Is No Reason For Excitement
Jet Freight Logistics Limited (NSE:JETFREIGHT) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 29% after a shaky period beforehand. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 45%.
Although its price has surged higher, Jet Freight Logistics may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x, since almost half of all companies in the Logistics industry in India have P/S ratios greater than 0.9x and even P/S higher than 3x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
View our latest analysis for Jet Freight Logistics
How Jet Freight Logistics Has Been Performing
Jet Freight Logistics has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think this respectable revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Jet Freight Logistics' earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Jet Freight Logistics' Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Jet Freight Logistics' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 8.5% last year. However, due to its less than impressive performance prior to this period, revenue growth is practically non-existent over the last three years overall. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 14% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we can see why Jet Freight Logistics is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
Jet Freight Logistics' stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Our examination of Jet Freight Logistics confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Jet Freight Logistics you should be aware of, and 1 of them is potentially serious.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:JETFREIGHT
Jet Freight Logistics
Engages in the freight forwarding business in India.
Good value with mediocre balance sheet.