The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Aksh Optifibre Limited (NSE:AKSHOPTFBR) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Aksh Optifibre
What Is Aksh Optifibre's Debt?
As you can see below, Aksh Optifibre had ₹2.06b of debt at September 2020, down from ₹2.59b a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹241.3m, its net debt is less, at about ₹1.82b.
How Healthy Is Aksh Optifibre's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Aksh Optifibre had liabilities of ₹3.11b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹1.36b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had ₹241.3m in cash and ₹1.06b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹3.16b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit casts a shadow over the ₹1.10b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Aksh Optifibre would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Aksh Optifibre's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Over 12 months, Aksh Optifibre made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to ₹2.7b, which is a fall of 15%. That's not what we would hope to see.
Caveat Emptor
Not only did Aksh Optifibre's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost ₹68m at the EBIT level. Combining this information with the significant liabilities we already touched on makes us very hesitant about this stock, to say the least. That said, it is possible that the company will turn its fortunes around. Nevertheless, we would not bet on it given that it lost ₹3.5b in just last twelve months, and it doesn't have much by way of liquid assets. So while it's not wise to assume the company will fail, we do think it's risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Aksh Optifibre you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit unpleasant.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About NSEI:AKSHOPTFBR
Aksh Optifibre
Designs, manufactures, and sells optical fiber cables in India.
Slightly overvalued with imperfect balance sheet.