Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Trejhara Solutions Limited (NSE:TREJHARA) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for Trejhara Solutions
What Is Trejhara Solutions's Debt?
As you can see below, Trejhara Solutions had ₹128.4m of debt at September 2020, down from ₹521.6m a year prior. However, it also had ₹17.9m in cash, and so its net debt is ₹110.5m.
How Strong Is Trejhara Solutions' Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Trejhara Solutions had liabilities of ₹1.23b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹164.0m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹17.9m and ₹285.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₹1.09b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit casts a shadow over the ₹389.9m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Trejhara Solutions would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
While Trejhara Solutions's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.0 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 5.5 times last year does give us pause. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. The bad news is that Trejhara Solutions saw its EBIT decline by 17% over the last year. If that sort of decline is not arrested, then the managing its debt will be harder than selling broccoli flavoured ice-cream for a premium. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Trejhara Solutions will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Trejhara Solutions generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 87% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
Our View
To be frank both Trejhara Solutions's EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that Trejhara Solutions's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Trejhara Solutions is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those make us uncomfortable...
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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About NSEI:TREJHARA
Trejhara Solutions
Provides technology products and solutions in the Asia Pacific and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet low.