Stock Analysis
Tech Mahindra Limited's (NSE:TECHM) investors are due to receive a payment of ₹15.00 per share on 17th of November. This takes the dividend yield to 2.3%, which shareholders will be pleased with.
See our latest analysis for Tech Mahindra
Tech Mahindra's Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings
We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Before making this announcement, Tech Mahindra's dividend was higher than its profits, but the free cash flows quite comfortably covered it. Given that the dividend is a cash outflow, we think that cash is more important than accounting measures of profit when assessing the dividend, so this is a mitigating factor.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 144.5%. Assuming the dividend continues along the course it has been charting recently, our estimates show the payout ratio being 56% which brings it into quite a comfortable range.
Dividend Volatility
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. Since 2014, the dividend has gone from ₹5.00 total annually to ₹40.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 23% a year over that time. Tech Mahindra has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.
Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Come By
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. In the last five years, Tech Mahindra's earnings per share has shrunk at approximately 5.9% per annum. A modest decline in earnings isn't great, and it makes it quite unlikely that the dividend will grow in the future unless that trend can be reversed. Earnings are forecast to grow over the next 12 months and if that happens we could still be a little bit cautious until it becomes a pattern.
Tech Mahindra's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable
Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Tech Mahindra will make a great income stock. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. As an example, we've identified 1 warning sign for Tech Mahindra that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:TECHM
Tech Mahindra
Provides information technology services and solutions in the Americas, Europe, India, and internationally.