Stock Analysis

Improved Revenues Required Before Ramco Systems Limited (NSE:RAMCOSYS) Stock's 31% Jump Looks Justified

NSEI:RAMCOSYS
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Ramco Systems Limited (NSE:RAMCOSYS) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 31% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 60% in the last year.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Ramco Systems may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.2x, considering almost half of all companies in the Software industry in India have P/S ratios greater than 5.3x and even P/S higher than 12x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

See our latest analysis for Ramco Systems

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:RAMCOSYS Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 5th 2024

How Has Ramco Systems Performed Recently?

Ramco Systems could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. Perhaps the market is expecting the current trend of poor revenue growth to continue, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Ramco Systems will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

Ramco Systems' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. The lack of growth did nothing to help the company's aggregate three-year performance, which is an unsavory 16% drop in revenue. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 12% during the coming year according to the one analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 16%, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Ramco Systems' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Ramco Systems' P/S close to the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Ramco Systems' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Ramco Systems.

If you're unsure about the strength of Ramco Systems' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.