Stock Analysis

There's No Escaping Infosys Limited's (NSE:INFY) Muted Earnings

NSEI:INFY
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 25.3x Infosys Limited (NSE:INFY) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios greater than 30x and even P/E's higher than 55x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Infosys could be doing better as it's been growing earnings less than most other companies lately. The P/E is probably low because investors think this lacklustre earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Infosys

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:INFY Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 26th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Infosys' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Infosys would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. Fortunately, a few good years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by 21% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 11% per year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 20% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Infosys' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Final Word

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Infosys maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Infosys that you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.