Stock Analysis

Here's Why Accelya Solutions India's (NSE:ACCELYA) Statutory Earnings Are Arguably Too Conservative

NSEI:ACCELYA
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As a general rule, we think profitable companies are less risky than companies that lose money. However, sometimes companies receive a one-off boost (or reduction) to their profit, and it's not always clear whether statutory profits are a good guide, going forward. This article will consider whether Accelya Solutions India's (NSE:ACCELYA) statutory profits are a good guide to its underlying earnings.

While Accelya Solutions India was able to generate revenue of ₹3.07b in the last twelve months, we think its profit result of ₹401.8m was more important. The chart below shows that both revenue and profit have declined over the last three years.

View our latest analysis for Accelya Solutions India

earnings-and-revenue-history
NSEI:ACCELYA Earnings and Revenue History February 7th 2021

Importantly, statutory profits are not always the best tool for understanding a company's true earnings power, so it's well worth examining profits in a little more detail. As a result, we think it's well worth considering what Accelya Solutions India's cashflow (when compared to its earnings) can tell us about the nature of its statutory profit. Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Accelya Solutions India.

Zooming In On Accelya Solutions India's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Accelya Solutions India has an accrual ratio of -0.30 for the year to December 2020. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of ₹921m, well over the ₹401.8m it reported in profit. Accelya Solutions India shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.

Our Take On Accelya Solutions India's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, Accelya Solutions India's accrual ratio indicates strong conversion of profit to free cash flow, which is a positive for the company. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that Accelya Solutions India's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! On the other hand, its EPS actually shrunk in the last twelve months. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 1 warning sign with Accelya Solutions India, and understanding this should be part of your investment process.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Accelya Solutions India's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NSEI:ACCELYA

Accelya Solutions India

Engages in the provision of software solutions to the airline, cargo, and travel industries in the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and Europe.

Flawless balance sheet with acceptable track record.

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