Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Shradha Infraprojects (NSE:SHRADHA) Is Using Debt In A Risky Way

NSEI:SHRADHA
Source: Shutterstock

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Shradha Infraprojects Limited (NSE:SHRADHA) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Shradha Infraprojects

How Much Debt Does Shradha Infraprojects Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2021, Shradha Infraprojects had ₹1.56b of debt, up from ₹1.38b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had ₹42.9m in cash, and so its net debt is ₹1.52b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:SHRADHA Debt to Equity History February 23rd 2022

A Look At Shradha Infraprojects' Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shradha Infraprojects had liabilities of ₹1.47b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹267.3m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹42.9m and ₹4.12m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₹1.69b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit casts a shadow over the ₹582.7m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Shradha Infraprojects would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

As it happens Shradha Infraprojects has a fairly concerning net debt to EBITDA ratio of 367 but very strong interest coverage of 1k. So either it has access to very cheap long term debt or that interest expense is going to grow! Importantly, Shradha Infraprojects's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 30% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shradha Infraprojects will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Shradha Infraprojects burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, Shradha Infraprojects's EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its interest cover is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Considering all the factors previously mentioned, we think that Shradha Infraprojects really is carrying too much debt. To our minds, that means the stock is rather high risk, and probably one to avoid; but to each their own (investing) style. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 5 warning signs for Shradha Infraprojects you should be aware of, and 4 of them can't be ignored.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.