Stock Analysis

The five-year decline in earnings for Oswal Greentech NSE:OSWALGREEN) isn't encouraging, but shareholders are still up 487% over that period

NSEI:OSWALGREEN
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Oswal Greentech Limited (NSE:OSWALGREEN) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 12% in the last week. But over five years returns have been remarkably great. To be precise, the stock price is 457% higher than it was five years ago, a wonderful performance by any measure. So it might be that some shareholders are taking profits after good performance. Only time will tell if there is still too much optimism currently reflected in the share price.

In light of the stock dropping 12% in the past week, we want to investigate the longer term story, and see if fundamentals have been the driver of the company's positive five-year return.

See our latest analysis for Oswal Greentech

We don't think that Oswal Greentech's modest trailing twelve month profit has the market's full attention at the moment. We think revenue is probably a better guide. Generally speaking, we'd consider a stock like this alongside loss-making companies, simply because the quantum of the profit is so low. It would be hard to believe in a more profitable future without growing revenues.

In the last 5 years Oswal Greentech saw its revenue shrink by 7.3% per year. So it's pretty surprising to see that the share price is up 41% per year. There can be no doubt this kind of decoupling of revenue growth and share price growth is unusual to see in loss making companies. I think it's fair to say there is probably a fair bit of excitement in the price.

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NSEI:OSWALGREEN Earnings and Revenue Growth October 8th 2024

If you are thinking of buying or selling Oswal Greentech stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

Investors should note that there's a difference between Oswal Greentech's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we've covered above. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Oswal Greentech's TSR of 487% for the 5 years exceeded its share price return, because it has paid dividends.

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that Oswal Greentech shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 91% over the last year. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 42%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Oswal Greentech you should be aware of, and 2 of them are potentially serious.

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Indian exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.