Pinning Down Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited's (NSE:SUNPHARMA) P/E Is Difficult Right Now
When close to half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 33x, you may consider Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited (NSE:SUNPHARMA) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 41x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
There hasn't been much to differentiate Sun Pharmaceutical Industries' and the market's earnings growth lately. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this modest earnings performance will accelerate. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for Sun Pharmaceutical Industries
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Sun Pharmaceutical Industries would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 23% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 73% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 11% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 20% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's alarming that Sun Pharmaceutical Industries' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Key Takeaway
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Sun Pharmaceutical Industries currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Sun Pharmaceutical Industries you should be aware of.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:SUNPHARMA
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries
A generic pharmaceutical company, develops, manufactures, and markets branded and generic formulations and active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs) in India and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with proven track record and pays a dividend.