Stock Analysis

SMS Pharmaceuticals' (NSE:SMSPHARMA) Earnings Are Of Questionable Quality

NSEI:SMSPHARMA
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SMS Pharmaceuticals Limited (NSE:SMSPHARMA) announced strong profits, but the stock was stagnant. Our analysis suggests that this might be because shareholders have noticed some concerning underlying factors.

See our latest analysis for SMS Pharmaceuticals

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NSEI:SMSPHARMA Earnings and Revenue History June 4th 2021

A Closer Look At SMS Pharmaceuticals' Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

Over the twelve months to March 2021, SMS Pharmaceuticals recorded an accrual ratio of 0.22. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of ₹613m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of ₹625.3m. We also note that SMS Pharmaceuticals' free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of ₹613m.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of SMS Pharmaceuticals.

Our Take On SMS Pharmaceuticals' Profit Performance

SMS Pharmaceuticals didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Because of this, we think that it may be that SMS Pharmaceuticals' statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But the good news is that its EPS growth over the last three years has been very impressive. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For example, we've found that SMS Pharmaceuticals has 3 warning signs (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of SMS Pharmaceuticals' profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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