Stock Analysis

Should Weakness in Kilitch Drugs (India) Limited's (NSE:KILITCH) Stock Be Seen As A Sign That Market Will Correct The Share Price Given Decent Financials?

NSEI:KILITCH
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Kilitch Drugs (India) (NSE:KILITCH) has had a rough three months with its share price down 6.3%. But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Kilitch Drugs (India)'s ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

Check out our latest analysis for Kilitch Drugs (India)

How Is ROE Calculated?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Kilitch Drugs (India) is:

1.5% = ₹18m ÷ ₹1.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each ₹1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made ₹0.01 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

A Side By Side comparison of Kilitch Drugs (India)'s Earnings Growth And 1.5% ROE

As you can see, Kilitch Drugs (India)'s ROE looks pretty weak. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 14%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. However, we we're pleasantly surprised to see that Kilitch Drugs (India) grew its net income at a significant rate of 65% in the last five years. Therefore, there could be other reasons behind this growth. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

We then compared Kilitch Drugs (India)'s net income growth with the industry and we're pleased to see that the company's growth figure is higher when compared with the industry which has a growth rate of 16% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
NSEI:KILITCH Past Earnings Growth February 14th 2021

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Kilitch Drugs (India) is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Kilitch Drugs (India) Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

While the company did pay out a portion of its dividend in the past, it currently doesn't pay a dividend. This is likely what's driving the high earnings growth number discussed above.

Summary

Overall, we feel that Kilitch Drugs (India) certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Even in spite of the low rate of return, the company has posted impressive earnings growth as a result of reinvesting heavily into its business. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. You can see the 3 risks we have identified for Kilitch Drugs (India) by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

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