Stock Analysis

Is Indoco Remedies (NSE:INDOCO) A Risky Investment?

NSEI:INDOCO
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Indoco Remedies Limited (NSE:INDOCO) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Indoco Remedies

What Is Indoco Remedies's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Indoco Remedies had ₹2.03b of debt in September 2020, down from ₹2.14b, one year before. However, it also had ₹432.4m in cash, and so its net debt is ₹1.60b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:INDOCO Debt to Equity History December 28th 2020

How Strong Is Indoco Remedies's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Indoco Remedies had liabilities of ₹5.20b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹1.31b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had ₹432.4m in cash and ₹2.61b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹3.46b.

Given Indoco Remedies has a market capitalization of ₹27.1b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Looking at its net debt to EBITDA of 1.0 and interest cover of 5.1 times, it seems to us that Indoco Remedies is probably using debt in a pretty reasonable way. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. Pleasingly, Indoco Remedies is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 159% gain in the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Indoco Remedies can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Indoco Remedies recorded free cash flow worth 53% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Happily, Indoco Remedies's impressive EBIT growth rate implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And we also thought its net debt to EBITDA was a positive. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Indoco Remedies takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Indoco Remedies, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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