Stock Analysis

There's No Escaping Madhya Pradesh Today Media Limited's (NSE:MPTODAY) Muted Earnings

NSEI:MPTODAY
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When close to half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 33x, you may consider Madhya Pradesh Today Media Limited (NSE:MPTODAY) as a highly attractive investment with its 6.2x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

Madhya Pradesh Today Media has been doing a decent job lately as it's been growing earnings at a reasonable pace. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to degrade, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Madhya Pradesh Today Media

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:MPTODAY Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 9th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Madhya Pradesh Today Media will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as Madhya Pradesh Today Media's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 3.6% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, lamentably EPS has fallen 18% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 26% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we are not surprised that Madhya Pradesh Today Media is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, we think shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent earnings trends are already weighing down the shares.

The Key Takeaway

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Madhya Pradesh Today Media revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term are contributing to its low P/E, given the market is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for Madhya Pradesh Today Media you should be aware of, and 2 of them are potentially serious.

You might be able to find a better investment than Madhya Pradesh Today Media. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.