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Revenue Miss: Matrimony.com Limited Fell 11% Short Of Analyst Revenue Estimates And Analysts Have Been Revising Their Models
Shareholders might have noticed that Matrimony.com Limited (NSE:MATRIMONY) filed its third-quarter result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 8.8% to ₹557 in the past week. Revenues were ₹1.1b, 11% below analyst expectations, although losses didn't appear to worsen significantly, with a per-share statutory loss of ₹22.25 being in line with what the analyst forecast. Following the result, the analyst has updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimate suggests is in store for next year.
Check out our latest analysis for Matrimony.com
Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Matrimony.com's solitary analyst is for revenues of ₹5.09b in 2026. This would reflect a notable 9.0% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory per-share earnings are expected to be ₹22.70, roughly flat on the last 12 months. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analyst had been anticipated revenues of ₹5.52b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹26.10 in 2026. The analyst seem less optimistic after the recent results, reducing their revenue forecasts and making a substantial drop in earnings per share numbers.
It'll come as no surprise then, to learn that the analyst has cut their price target 22% to ₹560.
Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. The period to the end of 2026 brings more of the same, according to the analyst, with revenue forecast to display 7.1% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 6.4% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 8.1% annually. So although Matrimony.com is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's only growing at about the rate of the wider industry.
The Bottom Line
The biggest concern is that the analyst reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Matrimony.com. Sadly, they also downgraded their revenue forecasts, but the business is still expected to grow at roughly the same rate as the industry itself. The consensus price target fell measurably, with the analyst seemingly not reassured by the latest results, leading to a lower estimate of Matrimony.com's future valuation.
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At least one analyst has provided forecasts out to 2027, which can be seen for free on our platform here.
You can also see our analysis of Matrimony.com's Board and CEO remuneration and experience, and whether company insiders have been buying stock.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:MATRIMONY
Matrimony.com
A consumer internet company, provides online matchmaking services on internet and mobile platforms in India and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with acceptable track record.
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