The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, HT Media Limited (NSE:HTMEDIA) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for HT Media
What Is HT Media's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that HT Media had ₹10.1b of debt in September 2023, down from ₹13.6b, one year before. However, it does have ₹10.2b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of ₹172.9m.
How Strong Is HT Media's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that HT Media had liabilities of ₹18.5b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹2.84b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹10.2b as well as receivables valued at ₹3.69b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹7.43b.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of ₹6.23b, we think shareholders really should watch HT Media's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution. Given that HT Media has more cash than debt, we're pretty confident it can handle its debt, despite the fact that it has a lot of liabilities in total. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is HT Media's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
In the last year HT Media's revenue was pretty flat, and it made a negative EBIT. While that's not too bad, we'd prefer see growth.
So How Risky Is HT Media?
Although HT Media had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last twelve months, it generated positive free cash flow of ₹874m. So although it is loss-making, it doesn't seem to have too much near-term balance sheet risk, keeping in mind the net cash. We're not impressed by its revenue growth, so until we see some positive sustainable EBIT, we consider the stock to be high risk. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for HT Media you should know about.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
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About NSEI:HTMEDIA
HT Media
Engages in the printing and publication of newspapers and periodicals in India.
Adequate balance sheet and slightly overvalued.