Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That B.A.G. Films and Media (NSE:BAGFILMS) Is Using Debt Extensively

NSEI:BAGFILMS
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, B.A.G. Films and Media Limited (NSE:BAGFILMS) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for B.A.G. Films and Media

What Is B.A.G. Films and Media's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that B.A.G. Films and Media had ₹1.26b of debt in March 2022, down from ₹1.35b, one year before. However, it also had ₹227.0m in cash, and so its net debt is ₹1.04b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:BAGFILMS Debt to Equity History June 22nd 2022

How Strong Is B.A.G. Films and Media's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that B.A.G. Films and Media had liabilities of ₹1.41b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹444.6m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹227.0m as well as receivables valued at ₹1.45b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹175.0m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Since publicly traded B.A.G. Films and Media shares are worth a total of ₹952.0m, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

B.A.G. Films and Media shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (5.1), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 1.4 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. However, the silver lining was that B.A.G. Films and Media achieved a positive EBIT of ₹140m in the last twelve months, an improvement on the prior year's loss. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is B.A.G. Films and Media's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. During the last year, B.A.G. Films and Media burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

To be frank both B.A.G. Films and Media's interest cover and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least its level of total liabilities is not so bad. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that B.A.G. Films and Media's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with B.A.G. Films and Media (at least 1 which shouldn't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether B.A.G. Films and Media is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.