Stock Analysis

Is Vinati Organics (NSE:VINATIORGA) A Risky Investment?

NSEI:VINATIORGA
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Vinati Organics Limited (NSE:VINATIORGA) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Vinati Organics

How Much Debt Does Vinati Organics Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2022, Vinati Organics had ₹184.0m of debt, up from ₹20.2m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have ₹44.1m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹139.9m.

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NSEI:VINATIORGA Debt to Equity History September 7th 2022

A Look At Vinati Organics' Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Vinati Organics had liabilities of ₹1.67b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹944.8m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had ₹44.1m in cash and ₹4.91b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast ₹2.34b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This state of affairs indicates that Vinati Organics' balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the ₹232.5b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. But either way, Vinati Organics has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Vinati Organics has very little debt (net of cash), and boasts a debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.03 and EBIT of 583 times the interest expense. Indeed relative to its earnings its debt load seems light as a feather. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Vinati Organics has boosted its EBIT by 33%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Vinati Organics's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, Vinati Organics created free cash flow amounting to 15% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Our View

The good news is that Vinati Organics's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. Zooming out, Vinati Organics seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Vinati Organics, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.