Stock Analysis

Does Vikas EcoTech (NSE:VIKASECO) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

NSEI:VIKASECO
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Vikas EcoTech Limited (NSE:VIKASECO) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Vikas EcoTech

What Is Vikas EcoTech's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Vikas EcoTech had ₹1.32b of debt in September 2021, down from ₹1.63b, one year before. On the flip side, it has ₹90.7m in cash leading to net debt of about ₹1.23b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:VIKASECO Debt to Equity History January 2nd 2022

How Strong Is Vikas EcoTech's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Vikas EcoTech had liabilities of ₹1.53b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹118.6m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had ₹90.7m in cash and ₹1.32b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹235.4m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Since publicly traded Vikas EcoTech shares are worth a total of ₹1.94b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Weak interest cover of 0.33 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 13.5 hit our confidence in Vikas EcoTech like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Even worse, Vikas EcoTech saw its EBIT tank 36% over the last 12 months. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Vikas EcoTech's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Considering the last three years, Vikas EcoTech actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Our View

On the face of it, Vikas EcoTech's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. Having said that, its ability to handle its total liabilities isn't such a worry. Overall, it seems to us that Vikas EcoTech's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 5 warning signs with Vikas EcoTech (at least 3 which are potentially serious) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.