Stock Analysis

Does Tembo Global Industries (NSE:TEMBO) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

NSEI:TEMBO
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Tembo Global Industries Limited (NSE:TEMBO) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Tembo Global Industries

How Much Debt Does Tembo Global Industries Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2020 Tembo Global Industries had debt of ₹165.7m, up from ₹115.4m in one year. However, it also had ₹28.6m in cash, and so its net debt is ₹137.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:TEMBO Debt to Equity History January 22nd 2021

How Healthy Is Tembo Global Industries' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Tembo Global Industries had liabilities of ₹304.5m due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹89.0m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had ₹28.6m in cash and ₹374.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has ₹9.35m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This state of affairs indicates that Tembo Global Industries' balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So while it's hard to imagine that the ₹873.8m company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

While we wouldn't worry about Tembo Global Industries's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.0, we think its super-low interest cover of 2.2 times is a sign of high leverage. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. Fortunately, Tembo Global Industries grew its EBIT by 9.6% in the last year, slowly shrinking its debt relative to earnings. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Tembo Global Industries's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Tembo Global Industries recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Our View

While Tembo Global Industries's interest cover makes us cautious about it, its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow is no better. But its not so bad at staying on top of its total liabilities. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Tembo Global Industries is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Take risks, for example - Tembo Global Industries has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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