Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Sunflag Iron and Steel Company Limited (NSE:SUNFLAG) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Sunflag Iron and Steel
How Much Debt Does Sunflag Iron and Steel Carry?
As you can see below, Sunflag Iron and Steel had ₹2.18b of debt at September 2020, down from ₹2.78b a year prior. However, it does have ₹876.7m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹1.30b.
How Healthy Is Sunflag Iron and Steel's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Sunflag Iron and Steel had liabilities of ₹5.42b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹4.41b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹876.7m in cash and ₹1.90b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹7.06b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit isn't so bad because Sunflag Iron and Steel is worth ₹12.5b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Sunflag Iron and Steel has net debt of just 0.71 times EBITDA, indicating that it is certainly not a reckless borrower. And this view is supported by the solid interest coverage, with EBIT coming in at 9.2 times the interest expense over the last year. Also good is that Sunflag Iron and Steel grew its EBIT at 20% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Sunflag Iron and Steel's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Sunflag Iron and Steel recorded free cash flow of 43% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Our View
Sunflag Iron and Steel's EBIT growth rate was a real positive on this analysis, as was its net debt to EBITDA. On the other hand, its level of total liabilities makes us a little less comfortable about its debt. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Sunflag Iron and Steel is managing its debt quite well. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. We'd be motivated to research the stock further if we found out that Sunflag Iron and Steel insiders have bought shares recently. If you would too, then you're in luck, since today we're sharing our list of reported insider transactions for free.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About NSEI:SUNFLAG
Sunflag Iron and Steel
Manufactures and sells steel rolled products in India.
Flawless balance sheet and fair value.